Tokens, Watts, and Geography: AI Infrastructure Power Tiers

Working paper · Xuất bản 2026-06-04

Tóm tắt

The paper proposes a tier classification for AI infrastructure based on the interaction of three constraints: token-throughput economics, electrical wattage availability, and grid geography. Five falsifiable predictions are pre-registered on OSF, each with dated trigger conditions. The model is applied to the US, China, Northern Europe, and the Middle East from 2024 through 2027.

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Trích dẫn BibTeX

@techreport{djouad2026tokenswatts,
  title  = {Tokens, Watts, and Geography: AI Infrastructure Power Tiers},
  author = {Djouad, Djellal},
  year   = {2026},
  doi    = {10.5281/zenodo.20543628},
  url    = {https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20543628},
  institution = {CrossVol Research},
}