Tokens, Watts, and Geography: AI Infrastructure Power Tiers

Abstract

The paper proposes a tier classification for AI infrastructure based on the interaction of three constraints: token-throughput economics, electrical wattage availability, and grid geography. Five falsifiable predictions are pre-registered on OSF, each with dated trigger conditions. The model is applied to the US, China, Northern Europe, and the Middle East from 2024 through 2027.

Read

• Read on Zenodo (DOI 10.5281/zenodo.20543628)
• Read on Academia.edu
• Read on OSF

Identifiers

• DOI 10.5281/zenodo.20543628
• Wikidata Q140073162

Cite this paper

BibTeX citation

@techreport{djouad2026tokenswatts,
  title  = {Tokens, Watts, and Geography: AI Infrastructure Power Tiers},
  author = {Djouad, Djellal},
  year   = {2026},
  doi    = {10.5281/zenodo.20543628},
  url    = {https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20543628},
  institution = {CrossVol Research},
}